"BAGHDAD, Iraq - A new, partial tally of votes Friday from Iraq (news - web sites)'s landmark elections showed a Shiite coalition whose leaders have close ties to Iran rolling up a strong lead over other tickets, including that of interim Prime Minister Ayad Allawi.
The United Iraqi Alliance, which has the endorsement of Iraq's top Shiite clerics, won more than two-thirds of the 3.3 million votes counted so far, the election commission said. Allawi's ticket was running second with more than 579,700 votes." There. Debka's analysis here.
My post, Iran-Iraq, One in the Same?, addresses this nightmare scenerio:
"Wiping out Saddam may be the final chapter to the 1980-1988 Iran-Iraq war, which ended in a draw. At its roots, that war was waged over dominance of the Persian Gulf region. Iran had been alienated from the West (hostage crisis and the Shah being ousted), and it became a target of Saddam Hussein. The Iranian leadership, delivered by a Shi'ite Islamic revolution, sought to defeat Saddam Hussein, a secular leader, and export their revolution to Iraq bringing the Shi'ite majority in Iraq into power. Bush delivered to Iran, what Iran could not do itself. Now the race is on for what ideology will command the allegiance of Iraqis: Democracy or Islamism, Shi'ite style."